Broncos free agency: Brock Osweiler to test the market?

Jan 17, 2016; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Brock Osweiler (17) against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the AFC Divisional round playoff game at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 17, 2016; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Brock Osweiler (17) against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the AFC Divisional round playoff game at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports /
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Broncos free agency: Will Denver Broncos quarterback Brock Osweiler test the free agent market? If his price tag is as high as suggested, he just might…

Is Denver Broncos QB Brock Osweiler worth $15-20 million per season?

No. No he’s not.

I don’t care what the ‘going rate’ is for a young QB in today’s NFL, even a guy like Osweiler who has played in a handful of games with the Broncos and started six while developing over the last four years. Osweiler has done his job, and he’s been a great sport about it. I wouldn’t blame him if he felt like he should go cash in for his first go-round in free agency.

What if this is his last shot at a big contract?

The Kevin Kolb effect is powerful.

Osweiler stands to make at least $12 million annually on a contract, which is fair based on some similar contracts around the league that have been signed in the last five years or so. That said, Osweiler is worth whatever some team is willing to pay him, and even $15 million per season seems a bit over the top at this point.

Six starts.

I know, I know — it’s not all about what you’ve done but what you can do. Osweiler has proven he has the skills to be a good quarterback in this league, but to be paid up there with the best of them?

Not even Tom Brady is counting $15 million against the Patriots’ cap, though I understand his situation is wildly different than this.

Nick Foles, who made a Pro Bowl as recently as 2013, is only getting paid $12 million per season from the St. Louis Rams on a short-term deal. It might be unrealistic, but I don’t think Osweiler is currently worth $10 million a season. Tyrod Taylor, who made a Pro Bowl this past year, is counting $3.1 million against the salary cap in 2016.

If I’m John Elway, there’s no way in ‘you know where’ that I’m paying Osweiler in excess of $15 million per season. Not a chance. That being said, I’m not John Elway and I wasn’t once upon a time thinking about replacing Tim Tebow with Brandon Weeden…

Next: Broncos free agency predictions, thoughts, etc...

What a time to be alive…

Brock Osweiler is not an elite quarterback yet. He’s not a top tier quarterback yet. He’s proven himself a capable backup with the ability to be a starter in this league, but if we’re being honest, we really don’t know much more than that.

To pay him more money annually than anyone else on the roster would be outrageous.