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Broncos vs. Rams prediction and odds for NFL Week 16 (Trust in the defense)

By Iain MacMillan

Dec 18, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos defensive tackle D.J. Jones (97) reacts to a play in the second half against the Arizona Cardinals at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 18, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos defensive tackle D.J. Jones (97) reacts to a play in the second half against the Arizona Cardinals at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /
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The season is over for the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams, but that doesn’t mean we can’t get something from their final three games.

Just because a team is eliminated from the playoffs, doesn’t mean we can’t bet on their games. So, that’s exactly what we’re going to do.

Let’s dive into the odds for this weekend’s interconference matchup, and then I’ll break down my favorite bet for the game.

Broncos vs. Rams Odds, Spread, and Total

Broncos vs. Rams Betting Trends

  • The UNDER is 8-2 in the Broncos’ last 10 games
  • Broncos are 1-5 straight up in their last five games against Rams
  • Broncos are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against NFC West opponents
  • Rams are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games
  • The UNDER is 11-5 in the Rams’ last 16 games
  • Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last nine home games

Broncos vs. Rams Prediction and Pick

I’m going to be honest, I don’t have a lot of interest in betting on either offense, including one led by Brett Rypien, despite him notching a victory for the Broncos last week.

So, I’d recommend not betting on either offense, and instead bet on both defenses by betting on the UNDER.

The Broncos are the best UNDER team in the NFL, with it going 11-3 in their games this season. The Rams have also been a good UNDER team, with it cashing in 5-of-14 games for them. So, let’s just keep it simple and wager on another UNDER cashing.

We all know how good the Broncos defense is. They’re fourth in opponent yards per play, second in third down defense, and first in red zone defense, allowing teams to score a touchdown on 37.5% of their red zone trips against them.

What might surprise you, is it’s the Rams defense who ranks right behind Denver in red zone defense, allowing teams to score a touchdown on only 43.48% of red zone trips against them, the second best mark in the NFL.

The Broncos defense will get a chance to tee off on the Rams offense that could be the worst in the NFL. Los Angeles ranks dead last in opponent yards per play, averaging only 4.6 yards per snap.

This is going to be a defensive battle, so I’ll gladly back the UNDER in this spot.

You can track Iain’s bets on Betstamp here.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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