Denver Broncos Russell Wilson’s return to Seattle, 25 or Under?

Denver Broncos, Russell Wilson - Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Denver Broncos, Russell Wilson - Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports /
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In 2021, the Denver Broncos were 5-0 when scoring at least 25 points. Will the Russell Wilson-led Denver Broncos score 25 points against the Seattle Seahawks? Will the new additions to the defense help hold Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks to under 25?

Week One of the 2022 NFL Season is just a week away for the Denver Broncos. First-time Denver Broncos, Russell Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett, will be leading the Denver Broncos into Seattle. For both sides, it will be a battle with former friends turned foes on Monday Night Football at 8:15 PM Eastern time.

Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos, Russell Wilson (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) /

Why is scoring 25 points such an important number for the Denver Broncos?

Last year in the first edition of the 25 or Under segment, I predicted the Denver Broncos to beat the New York Giants, 27-13. They beat the New York Giants, 27-13.

In 2021, there was actually a decline across the league in points per game. Coming off a record-setting 2020 at 24.8 points per game, the NFL averaged just 23 per game in 2021.

That could be chalked up to better defensive play, injuries to star quarterbacks like Russell Wilson, or just be a natural progression of the flow chart. Nonetheless, 24 points to some are the threshold that puts a team in the conversation for winning a game comfortably.

In my theory, taking it to the next level with 25 points is a more accurate representation of the requisite to win in the NFL. With Teddy Bridgewater leading the Denver Broncos last season, they scored 25+ points five times, the Denver Broncos were 5-0 in those five games, coincidence? I think not.

When Geno Smith took over for the Seattle Seahawks last season, they were 1-2. They only scored over 25 points in one contest, that was the lone game the Seahawks won during his three starts. If the NFL averages 23 points a game, that is the average. To win in the NFL, you have to be better than average, and yes, 24 points per game are technically better than 23, but it isn’t enough to put your team in a different tier.

Averaging 24 points per game is still mediocre in my opinion. Quantifying that, it is three touchdowns and a field goal if you hit all extra points, which is an attainable goal. Scoring 25 points means that more than likely, your offense/special teams scored on four different occasions.

That fourth score seems to be the difference maker.