What are the Denver Broncos playoff chances after 2-0 start?

Denver Broncos linebacker Von Miller. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
Denver Broncos linebacker Von Miller. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports /

What are the Denver Broncos 2021 playoff chances after starting the season 2-0 with wins over the New York Giants and Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Denver Broncos are 2-0 for the first time since the 2018 season, but it feels like it’s been a lot longer than that. The post-Super Bowl 50 years have been an absolute grind for Denver Broncos fans and understandably so.

The quarterback carousel has turned round and round. The team has had three different head coaches. The roster has been completely reshaped multiple times over. There’s a new general manager calling the shots.

After wins against the New York Giants and Jacksonville Jaguars to open the 2021 season, the vibes around the Denver Broncos right now are pretty darn good. It doesn’t really matter that the Giants and Jaguars are not among the NFL’s elite at this point.

What actually matters?

With 15 games to play, the Denver Broncos are already 2-0 and they have nine home games left.

That may be true for other teams in the NFL at this particular point in time, but even if the Broncos are tied with another team on that particular stat right now, I’m pretty sure that this is the first time in NFL history that’s happened for anyone.

So, with a two game cushion in the win department and nine home games remaining, what are the Denver Broncos’ chances of making the playoffs as of right now?

Apparently, they are really good.

What exactly is “DVOA”? That’s a great question, one that Football Outsiders can best answer since they came up with it.

Essentially, it grades the Denver Broncos on a curve with the rest of the teams in the NFL and evaluates overall team effectiveness, efficiency, and success.

The folks at Football Outsiders see the Broncos as very effective, efficient, and successful thus far, and it’s translated to a 74.7 percent playoff chance if they can keep it up.

Of course, it’s critical to keep in mind that the “easier” schedule is not going anywhere for the Denver Broncos. Despite the fact that six of their games are against the rest of the AFC West, that’s only six out of the next 15 games. There are matchups against the Browns, Ravens, and Steelers as well as the rest of the NFC East, but the Broncos also have the chance to play teams like the Bengals, Lions, and Jets this coming Sunday.

There are seven available spots in each conference for the playoffs. The Denver Broncos are definitely at a distinct advantage as of right now and although it’s very early to declare anything definitively, you can’t help but like the team’s chances at making the playoffs if Teddy Bridgewater can be consistently good as he has been through the first two games.

The Broncos have played well through two games despite missing a number of key players due to injuries already and just like any other team in the NFL, they are going to need some good luck in the health department to make the postseason.

For now, though, things are certainly trending in that direction.