Von Miller reaching NFL sack record is realistic
At 30-years old, Denver Broncos pass rusher Von Miller still has a chance at reaching 200 sacks by the end of his career.
Pass rusher Von Miller has been at the top of the rankings in terms of overall performance throughout his eight year NFL career. In 2018, he became the Denver Broncos all-time sack leader.
He has been the best player on defense for the Broncos for a long time now and the goal is that he will be atop the NFL’s all-time sack mark by the end of his career.
The current record is held by Buffalo Bills legend Bruce Smith, who finished his 18-year career with 200 total sacks.
Miller is currently held at 98 sacks through eight seasons in the NFL, including 2013 when he only played in nine games.
Miller has averaged 12.25 sacks per year so far throughout his career. If he keeps that pace up, it would take him 8.2 more seasons, or 131.2 more career games.
For him to pass Smith on the all-time NFL sack list, Miller will need to average 12.5 sacks in the next 8.2 seasons—not a whole lot different than the previous stat, as half sacks count.
At that pace, Miller would reach 200 sacks faster than Smith did—in 19 seasons, Smith played in 279 games. If Miller sticks to the pace he is on, he would reach 200 sacks in 131.2 games.
In seasons that Miller has played in all 16 games, he has averaged 13.6 sacks.
There is no doubt that Miller is capable of reaching that milestone. If he is able to stay healthy and not get in trouble (prompting a suspension), he is in reach of the all-time sack record, and at a faster pace, too.
Hypothetically, that means that Von Miller would not have to play as many seasons as Smith did. Of course, Broncos Country would love for him to do so. But he wouldn’t have to.
The presence of Bradley Chubb for hopefully the remainder of Miller’s career should be of great use for the veteran. Although he may not need the help, it is always good to have other players on the around the greats to help try and lure attention away.
There are no signs that Von Miller is slowing down. He still has plenty of time to reach and eclipse the all-time sack record. If the Denver Broncos are able to make the playoffs often, his chances become greater.
I believe Miller will at least come extremely close to the record by the end of his career. It would not surprise me if he even eclipsed it.