Denver Broncos mock draft: Sell the farm for Dwayne Haskins?
First Round
Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State (via trade up)
If the Broncos’ top target is Haskins (or any quarterback, for that matter) they are likely going to have to trade up from the 10th overall spot to get him.
That’s what recent history tells us, anyway.
Every quarterback drafted in the first round since 2016 (except 2018 top pick Baker Mayfield) was acquired from the drafting team trading up. Those quarterbacks include:
Jared Goff
Carson Wentz
Paxton Lynch
Mitch Trubisky
Patrick Mahomes
DeShaun Watson
Sam Darnold
Josh Allen
Josh Rosen
Lamar Jackson
Every single one of those quarterbacks was selected in round one after a team traded up to get them. So it stands to reason that getting a quarterback will require moving up to ensure it happens, not waiting for someone to fall down the board.
So there’s a major factor at play here with the Broncos likely having to move up the draft order to get a quarterback, and along with that comes the matter of price. What will it cost?
If the Broncos have some competition for a guy like Haskins, they will not only have to trade up, but they will have to outbid another team to get him. It’s a good thing the Broncos have a great relationship with John Lynch, the general manager of the San Francisco 49ers, who has the second overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, a loaded defensive front, and a franchise quarterback in place.
Lynch can afford to field offers for the second overall pick, and based on some of the offers that have been made in the past, here’s what I would consider good value from the 49ers’ perspective to drop all the way to pick 10 instead of six or seven with the Giants/Jaguars.
That is a lot to give up for one pick, but you’re talking about acquiring a player you believe to be a franchise quarterback. If that’s the case, the cost is worth it. And in this case, the Broncos would be passing on the potentially loaded 2020 class and could begin stocking picks for the 2021 NFL Draft when Trevor Lawrence is eligible.
Haskins has the look of a sure-fire franchise quarterback and I highly doubt the New York Jets are upset about paying a high price for Sam Darnold, or any of the other aforementioned teams save for Denver whose selection of Paxton Lynch yielded no positive results.
Haskins was incredible in his first year as a full-time starter for Ohio State and was named a Heisman finalist after completing 70 percent of his passes for over 4,800 yards with 50 touchdown passes and just eight interceptions.
He’s the real deal, but is trading up for him worth it as opposed to just waiting for Drew Lock or Daniel Jones? That’s something the Broncos will have to decide in the pre-draft process.