The Denver Broncos have reportedly made a contract offer to QB Brock Osweiler according to the Denver Post. What will happen over the next week?
Supply and demand is a very simple concept. It’s something most of us probably learned back in junior high or high school. In case you have no idea what I’m talking about, supply and demand is an economic concept where your supply is how much of something you have, and your demand is how much of that supply is wanted from buyers.
Here’s an example of a ‘shortage’ as it relates to supply and demand…
Nike made some pretty awesome white jackets for the Super Bowl valued at $225 apiece. I thought to myself, “Man, that is a really great jacket, but not for $225. I will wait until the price goes down.”
Not two weeks after the Broncos won the Super Bowl, the jacket wasn’t even listed on Nike’s website anymore, or any other place that carried it. The jackets are gone, and certainly none available at a discounted price.
Are you seeing where I’m going with this?
There are only so many ‘good’ quarterbacks in the NFL, and the Broncos had two last year. John Elway decided to wait until this offseason to re-sign Brock Osweiler, and after a couple of moves by teams to keep quarterbacks out in the NFC East (Kirk Cousins, Sam Bradford), the value of Brock Osweiler has just skyrocketed.
Only, Osweiler may be pricing himself out of the realm of realism for the Broncos, and the supply of QBs in the NFL is getting thinner and thinner. The Broncos may soon find themselves shopping for something that’s ‘sold out’.
John Elway said that this contract wouldn’t be the biggest one Brock received as a pro ball player, but according to Troy Renck, the Broncos have made Osweiler a ‘competitive’ contract offer and want him back. It makes sense for both parties to agree to a deal, but the Broncos are having to overpay no matter what kind of contract they give Osweiler.
It seems that his value lies somewhere between $12 million- 16 million per season, but even that is too steep for my liking. I am going to have to come to grips with the realism of the situation because I wrote earlier this week that I think Osweiler is going to stay in Denver some way, shape, or form. The Broncos have made him an offer — perhaps not better than what he’d receive on the open market — and I feel like they are pretty comfortable with him accepting that offer.
Osweiler is likely to shop his services around the league when the legal tampering period begins, but I could see that being one final ploy to get the Broncos to raise some kind of signing bonus or guaranteed dollar amount.
One way or another, I think Osweiler comes back to the Broncos, and I think the sooner we all accept that, the better.
If by some stroke of craziness Osweiler decides that $2 million or $3 million per season on a different contract with a worse team is worth playing in a mediocre situation with players he didn’t just win the Super Bowl with, then I say good riddance. The Broncos won the Super Bowl with sub-par QB play, and a guy like Ryan Fitzpatrick could feasibly take this team to and win a Super Bowl with the talent on the roster.
In fact, that’s not a horrible option.
At any rate, the Broncos are trying to keep Osweiler. They’re trying to keep Malik Jackson. They are working on a long-term deal for Von Miller. There are a ton of moving parts right now for this team, but the quarterback position is obviously the most glamorous and will be the hottest topic of discussion this offseason.
What will Osweiler do? My money is still on him coming back to Denver, and the supply/demand of quarterbacks in this league will once again be in a shortage, just not for the Broncos.